Intangiriro: Raporo ya Wood Mackenzie iteganya ko mu myaka icumi, fosifate ya lithium icunga icyuma izasimbura okiside ya lithium manganese cobalt nk'ikintu cy'ingenzi gikomeza kubika ingufu.
Umuyobozi Mukuru wa Tesla, Elon Musk, yagize ati: “Nucukura nikeli mu buryo bwiza kandi butangiza ibidukikije, Tesla izaguha amasezerano menshi.” Umusesenguzi w’umunyamerika Wood Mackenzie ateganya ko mu myaka icumi, lithiamu feri fosfeti (LFP) izasimbura lithiamu manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) nk’ububiko bw’ingufu butaziguye.
Ariko, Musk amaze igihe kinini ashyigikiye ko cobalt ikurwa muri batiri, bityo wenda iyi nkuru ntabwo ari mbi kuri we.
Dukurikije amakuru ya Wood Mackenzie, bateri za lithium iron phosphate (LFP) zari zifite 10% by'isoko ry'ingufu zitarahinduka mu 2015. Kuva icyo gihe, gukundwa kwazo kwariyongereye cyane kandi zizatwara isoko rirenga 30% mu 2030.
Iri zamuka ryatangiye kubera ibura rya bateri za NMC n'ibice byazo mu mpera za 2018 no mu ntangiriro z'umwaka ushize. Kubera ko imodoka zo mu bubiko bw'ingufu zitarahagarara ndetse n'izikoresha amashanyarazi (ev) zagiye zishyirwa mu bikorwa vuba, kuba izo nzego zombi zisangiye uburyo bwo gukoresha bateri byateje ibura ryabyo.
Umusesenguzi mukuru wa Wood Mackenzie, Mitalee Gupta, yagize ati: "Bitewe n'igihe kirekire cyo gutanga serivisi za NMC n'igiciro kidahinduka, abatanga serivisi za LFP batangiye kwinjira ku isoko rya NMC ku giciro gito, bityo LFP irakurura haba mu ngufu n'ingufu."
Ikintu kimwe gituma LFP yiyongera cyane ni itandukaniro riri hagati y’ubwoko bwa bateri ikoreshwa mu kubika ingufu n’ubwoko bwa bateri ikoreshwa mu modoka zikoresha amashanyarazi, kuko ibikoresho bizagirwaho ingaruka no guhanga udushya no kwihangira imirimo.
Uburyo bwo kubika ingufu za lithium-ion buriho ubu bufite inyungu nke kandi bugira inyungu nke mu bukungu iyo igihe kirenze amasaha 4-6, bityo uburyo bwo kubika ingufu mu gihe kirekire burakenewe byihutirwa. Gupta yavuze ko yiteze kandi ko ubushobozi bwo kugarura ingufu buhanitse n'ingufu nyinshi bizabanza kuruta ubucucike bw'ingufu n'ubwizigirwa bw'isoko ry'ububiko bw'ingufu budahinduka, byombi bateri za LFP zishobora gutanga urumuri.
Nubwo iterambere rya LFP ku isoko rya bateri z'imodoka zikoresha amashanyarazi ritari rikomeye cyane nko mu bijyanye no kubika ingufu zidahinduka, raporo ya Wood Mackenzie yagaragaje ko porogaramu zigendanwa zikoresha ikoranabuhanga zirimo fosifate ya lithium iron zidashobora kwirengagizwa.
Iyi miti isanzwe ikunzwe cyane ku isoko ry’imodoka zikoresha amashanyarazi mu Bushinwa kandi byitezwe ko izakundwa ku isi yose. WoodMac iteganya ko mu 2025, LFP izaba irenga 20% by’amabateri yose y’imodoka zikoresha amashanyarazi.
Umusesenguzi mukuru w’ubushakashatsi muri Wood Mackenzie, Milan Thakore, yavuze ko imbaraga nyamukuru zikoreshwa muri LFP mu bijyanye n’imodoka zikoresha amashanyarazi zizaturuka ku kunoza ibinyabutabire mu bijyanye n’ubucucike bw’ingufu zikoreshwa mu bunini bw’ibiro n’ikoranabuhanga ryo gupakira batiri.
Igihe cyo kohereza ubutumwa: 16 Nzeri 2020